“What is your rate,” you ask? Mortgage rates are subject to change at any time and without
advance notice. They are posted
daily and usually stay the same for anywhere from a day to a couple of days but
occasionally change mid-day due to evolving conditions in the financial markets.
During times when the financial markets are volatile rates may even
change two or three times during the course of a single day.
Mortgage interest rates take
their direction specifically from the changing yield requirements in the long
term credit markets. Different
types of investments compete with each other in the nation’s capital markets
for available money. Thus, a good
day in the equities (or stock) markets may pull money out of the credit
(or bond) markets, which includes mortgage-backed securities.
This slow down of money moving into the long term credit markets could
make long term bond prices decline which would cause the fixed rate of return on
these instruments to increase as a percentage of the price paid
for the instrument. That would
cause mortgage yields to increase.
Because
investors in mortgages may have to live with a fixed
rate of return for up to thirty years these securities are very sensitive
to expectations of future inflation, which would erode away the real
rate of return. Thirty years is a
long time and a lot of unforeseen things can come about during that time.
That is why changes in short term rates, such as those controlled by the
Federal Reserve, do not always affect long term mortgage rates in a
“lock-step” manner. Sometimes
mortgage rates move in the same direction as short term rates but not to
the same degree. At other
times, mortgage rates move in the opposite direction as short term rates.
The correlation between these short term and long term rates depends on
everything that’s going on in the financial markets and hindsight is always
more accurate than foresight in predicting these things.
No one knows in advance what the financial markets are going to
do. Most people have an opinion and
every time some opinions are right and some opinions are wrong.
Who is right and who is wrong is only partly dependent on
knowledge and insight. Just as in a
game of cards or dominoes, your
fortune depends not only on your ability to play your hand but on what you are
dealt as well!
Neighborhood Mortgage Center is a lender with about one hundred institutional investors to whom we can sell mortgages.
On a typical day, by fax and e-mail,
we will get between fifty to one hundred thousand individual quotes on
mortgage interest rates (thank heaven for technology!). Other things can impact the rate assigned to any one loan
such as periodic changes in underwriting guidelines or receipt of documentation
different from information thought to be accurate at the time of application.
It should be apparent why a loan officer’s answer to the question “what is the interest rate today” seems sometimes reluctant and guarded, particularly if the loan officer has just begun a conversation with a potential borrower and knows little about their individual circumstances, history and goals at the time this question is presented. Because there are so many variables affecting the interest rate assigned to any one loan application, applicants should be leery of any individual who is too quick to offer an answer to the question “what is the interest rate” without first obtaining enough information to make a reasonably accurate response. This is why only seasoned, experienced professionals are allowed to work at Neighborhood Mortgage Center. A Neighborhood Mortgage Center loan officer will be happy to give you a range of current rates typical for the type of loan you are interested in or a specific quote based on an analysis of your goals, history and circumstances.
To contact Preston Dumas: pdumas@nmcltd.com